After a long and strenuous off season in which The Sunday Savant did almost nothing in terms of blogging, I’m back. I must say that this season will prove to be much tougher on me than last year because I have WAY too much going on that wasn’t happening last season. AND I will be away from the NFL during the Sunday afternoon games more often than not. However, I am bound and determined to cram my head with as much NFL knowledge and updates as humanly possible. I’m not going to let this season slip away because of a menial task like work.
I do apologize for the outright flatline on the blog during the summer. After the draft I have just had too many WONDERFUL things going on to write about my favorite game in the world. But, enough fluff and BS, let’s see where we are in the good ol’ NFL!
Two big distractions.
Brett Favre is dead. Not really, but in football terms he is. Good riddance. I like the guy but I’m glad he’s done and I’m glad no one will say anymore about him once the season starts. Or let’s hope.
Michael Vick is going to end up on a team it seems but who knows where? It’s looking like teams are waiting for the injury bug to hit them before they start flirting with Vick. I said it when this whole thing went down a couple of years back. He’s not a good enough QB to take a chance on especially after being in prison for 2 years. His completion % was paltry when he was throwing everyday for a living. How good could it be now? I’m sure he’s still a better athlete than 99% of the league, but where is a good fit? Will he play RB? If anyone else messes around with the Wildcat he’d be a prime candidate but that’s TBD. He’s not going away anytime soon but the uniform he wears this year is anyone’s guess.
Now that every team has reported to camp the real football buzz is back in the air. I think the best way to tackle this is to go by divisions and see who is on the way up or down. Let’s start with East’s.
NFC East
New York. The Giants to me are every bit as strong as the team that started last season 11-1. Except one glaring issue. No down field threat. Once Plaxico got gansta on his own quadriceps the G-Men’s offense completely sputtered. No one will know for sure if draft pick Hakeem Nicks will step up and take the reigns until the season starts. But it’s a good guess that they will be missing Plaxico in the early months this year as well. However, they have had an entire off season to adjust and Tom Coughlin is too good a coach to not fix his teams biggest concern. Whether it’s by strategy or personnel he’ll adjust for not having Plax. One thing is for certain, the defensive line is the best (on paper) in the league. Hands down, no questions asked. And having that on their side lets the Giants play with any team in the NFC. I really am concerned about how productive this offense is going to be though. Let’s say, 10-6 and a bubble team for the post season.
Philly. I notice that a lot of talking heads are picking Philly to be a juggernaut this year and compete for the NFC title…again. Fair enough, I see where that praise is coming from. They have a good (not great) QB. Brian Westbrook is the best all purpose back (when healthy) in the league. Both lines are very good and they have a great defense (except Jim Johnson just passed away and he was the genius that made them great). You see all of those parentheses? That’s my problem. Not to mention they’re coached by Andy Reid. No team in football has worse clock management than the Eagles. The little things always bite this team in the butt and I don’t see any big change from previous years to get them over the hump. Will they be in the playoffs? I think so. They’re not the best team in the NFC but I think they’ll win this division. 11-5
Washington. The Redskins should be a better team than last year mainly because QB Jason Campbell has more stability in the playbook than he’s had in his career. Jim Zorn is still molding his QB but Campbell is quite serviceable and capable of making big time throws all over the field. The defense for Washington got the best DT in the game when they picked up Albert Haynesworth in free agency. However as we’ve seen time and time again the Redskins get a big name free agent and their play drops off drastically. There is no rhyme or reason to it except that it’s a reoccurring theme. Barring injury to big Al though, I don’t see how the 3rd best defense in the NFC didn’t just get even more beastly. The problem with Washington, the two best defenses were the two teams I just talked about. IF the offense can gain a modicum of consistency then this team automatically becomes a legitimate threat to everyone they play…Notice the capital “IF”. The Detroit Lions averaged more points than these guys last year!! Only St Louis was worse. I hate to be boring but this team has 8-8 written all over it. Ok, 9-7.
Dallas. No T.O, no Jessica Simpson, new stadium, a coach on the hot seat and still one of the most talented rosters (on paper) in the NFL. There is NO excuse for Dallas not to make the post season with bells on this season. Then again there was no excuse last season. This team is the quintessential off the field drama llama of the NFL. Romo is a good QB. In the top half of the league for sure. When Marion Barber is healthy there isn’t a more entertaining RB out there for my money. On the other side of the ball Demarcus Ware is an absolute animal! This team can score points in bunches and has playmakers on defense. However, they found a host of ways to lose games last year and did one of the biggest choke jobs in recent history against Philly in week 17. I know, that was last year and for all of the reasons stated above the cancers of last year have left the building. Hopefully for Dallas fans this team starts to play the way it was built. I think they’re back in the mix this year finishing the season 10-6 and getting a wildcard.
AFC EAST
Buffalo. Speaking of T.O. Bills fans are excited about having the Owen Circus in town and who can blame them? Buffalo has been a model of boring football ever since the mid 90’s. But if T.O. thinks Jeff Garcia and Donovan McNabb are lousy QB’s what do you think he’ll do when Trent Edwards goes down with another injury (because he will) and JP Losman starts chucking him the ball? Oh the humanity! I think Dick Jauron is a really fine assistant coach but I’d gouge out an eyeball if that man takes his team (any team) to the promised land. He’s well under .500 as a head coach and his teams have made one post season appearance in which they lost. Buffalo also gets the unfortunate task of going to Foxboro for Tom Brady’s welcome back party in week 1. If they have any pride left after that one, the schedule should allow them to win 6 or 7 games. But let’s not forget that for the first three, Marshawn Lynch will be carrying out his three game suspension putting the offensive burden even more on the passing game. Yikes. Enough already! 6-10.
New York. The week before Thanksgiving last year the NFL was paradise for the Jets. And then they remembered they had a geriatric washed up “gunslinger” at QB. Cold weather is not good on old tired joints. The Jets and their QB lost 4 out of their last 5 including losses to Seattle and San Francisco. Pitiful. But now they have a rookie head coach in Rex Ryan who could be just what this team needs. Reports from camp have said that top draft pick Mark Sanchez is outperforming Kellen Clements for the starting job. Thomas Jones is a workhorse back who Sanchez (assuming he’s the starter) will be able to rely on as a safety valve out of the backfield. I like NY to compete all year long for a playoff spot and be right in the thick of things come January. Last year we had two rookie coach/QB tandems take their teams to the playoffs which bucked a trend that said the odds are highly stacked against you when that’s the case. Rex Ryan saw it happen first hand with the Ravens. We’ll see if he’s got the formula this year. 9-7.
New England. There's no doubt this is a completely loaded team that is finally addressing it's woefully old defense. In the past two drafts they've got some guys that can absolutely fly around the ball. Jerrod Mayo is set to have an extraordinary year in my opinion. The evil wizard is going to use this athletic player in all kinds of creative ways. They spent two 2nd Round picks on DB's Darius Butler and Patrick Chung who are both very physical players. Exactly what they needed. Tom Brady is back and by all reports looks as sharp as ever. The offense should be close to 07 form but of course the rest of the league will be a little less susceptible to the ridiculous amount of deep passes. The running game may get a kick from newly acquired Fred Taylor but I can't see the Pats being any more of a running team than they have been in the past two years. Nevertheless the Pats will dominate and they will be in the playoffs and will more than likely go deep. Assuming Brady's stays upright of course. Because Matt Cassell is no mas. 13-3. I still hate them if you were wondering.
Miami. I'm really interested in the Dolphins this year. I know that most of this interest is generated by my man crush on Pat White who graduated from a certain University in a certain Blessed state. The head of the company that I now work for also owns them along with a host of celebrities including Jimmy Buffett and Fergie. I wonder if Bill Parcells has to explain any football decisions to Fergie and Buffett? Can you imagine that conversation?! Aside from all that the Dolphins and QB Chad Pennington should absolutely compete for one of the AFC wildcard spots. They'll be a bubble team just because they don't have the easiest schedule in the league but all of the pieces are really falling into place. Solid defense, well coached and all of the crucial positions are manned by excellent players. I think they'll go 10-6 which unlike last year will be good enough to get in if all the tie breaks go your way.
Whew, I'm outta practice and winded. 24 teams to go.